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I prefer Astra for creative uses, Fable seems better for hardcore coding.

Whoa, I'm exactly the opposite.

Almost as if evaluating models is mostly astrology as this point.

Well, if you have a clearly defined task it's easy. When using them for my pipeline of writing explanations for Chinese words I have clear ranking, for example - opus 5.5 clearly better than opus 5 at writing and knowing details, annoying nit picker when it comes to finding errors (high accuracy, low usefulness) all in repeatable numbers on different datasets. The problem is that these models are most useful when you are facing a new task that you haven't encountered before. And yup then it's astrology.

Anthropic is reporting 100 Billion ARR.

Even if you could get a frontier model, you would not be able to run it on any Mac. So speculating on what M7 or M9 will achieve in 5 years (if we even still exist) seems pointless.


Do you need a frontier model to write emails, check your calendar, search the web?

I don’t think Apple is going to lie down and cede AI to the cloud.


> Do you need a frontier model to write emails, check your calendar, search the web?

How about writing mail to President and senators on AI doomsday scenario if frontier labs do not pace themselves?

That mini model on mac mini would scared to hell to do such thing. It need that rugged frontier model to speak truth to power.


True, but do you need a 10,000 dollar machine to do so?

I would love to find an excuse to buy a 10,000 dollar machine! But I cant find one yet. My current cloud bill is in excess of 400 USD per month. Just can't achieve frontier model capabilities locally.


I think in 5 years (aka before OpenAI can pay off all its debt) a lot of AI will be running on your iPhone

People thought that 5 years ago, too. OpenAI has competitors to worry about, but Apple isn't one of them.

>A more apples-to-apples comparison

Don't you mean an Apple to NVidea comparison?


I use an antagonistic agent to review and refute its findings, works great.

Read https://ai-2027.com/

This prediction has proven quite accurate so far.

Don't think anyone should panic, but people should be aware.


Has anyone read https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biological_War:_A_Scenario

Sounds like there already exist some pretty crazy biological weapons in existence. I dont know if it will be 5 years or 20 years, but at some point some fanatic will try to kill the rest of us.


And software engineers have a right solution? Guess again.

Go Apple, bring up the rear!

Can they even do anything new?


Apple has had the "perfect existing technology" business model for FIFTY years and people are still surprised.


I can't argue with that model, but in the past they actually did new and interesting things! The M series processor, the iPhone. Lets hope new CEO who is more of an engineer then the last one was ramps things up.


most of their innovations are in stuff that would be boring to go into detail with. They talked about the advancements in their A series processors (but you left that out), they talk about their complex layering to prevent a crease from forming, they talk about the dynamic audio. Love em or hate em but you cant say they arent doing new things.


Neurodivergent


a link to article he is referring to.

https://ai-2027.com/

worth reading


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