Are users able to bet specifically on whether prisoners of war in Kostyantynivka will be killed? Or whether women and children will be raped? That kind of fine-grained war market could be groundbreaking

I know you're just being snarky, but FYI, oldtimey rape and pillage requires the civilian population to be present at the time of the assault, and that only happened during the first month or so of this war. since summer 2022, the Russian advance has been so slow that women and children had months to safely evacuate. besides, each settlement is reduced to rubble by artillery and gliding bombs before assaults begin.

First result when I put in "polymarket assassination" reads:

"Explore 102 live Assassin prediction markets as of April 6, 2026. Track real-time odds and trade on The World's Largest Prediction Market™"

War profiteering for the people!

Lots of publicly traded war profiteering companies. The president even highlighted one a couple of days ago.

You make it sound bad, but I personally am very much in favor of regular people having access to the same bad things that the people in charge have.

You think normal folks should have access to precision guided munitions and chemical weapons?

Look, I don't think people should have access to these at all, but at the same time, I think that the average Joe would be a better custodian of these than Trump and Netanyahu.

My hope is that equal access might make us stop treating these things as if they are ok.

This has clearly worked out well with giving guns to the entire US population…

It definitely hasn't, but my argument would be in favor of making regular police forces be unarmed as well, like in the UK.

we have armed police, just not all police are armed

That's why I said "regular police". My understanding is that generally no one (including the police) is allowed to carry a gun in public unless someone already illegally introduced them into play. That's the world I want to live in.